Back to top

Image: Bigstock

GitLab Down 25.3% YTD: How Should Investors Play the GTLB Stock?

Read MoreHide Full Article

GitLab (GTLB - Free Report) shares have plunged 25.3% year to date (YTD), underperforming the Zacks Computer & Technology sector’s growth of 21.7% and the Zacks Internet Software industry’s return of 14.5%. 

The underperformance in GitLab shares can be attributed to modest top-line growth expectations in fiscal 2025 due to the challenging macroeconomic environment. It also includes a $4 million headwind related to GTLB’s stand-alone selling price analysis. 

Although the latest products like GitLab Duo and GitLab Duo Pro bode well for GTLB’s prospects, meaningful contribution is expected to take some time amid stiff competition.

Hence, a dip in GTLB’s share price brings this question into investors’ minds - is it the right time to jump into the stock or should we wait for a better entry point?

YTD Performance

 

Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

Strong Portfolio Boosts GitLab Stocks Prospects


GitLab’s total addressable market is estimated to be $40 billion. It has been winning accolades due to a robust pipeline. Gartner, in its 2024 Magic Quadrant for AI Code Assiatants, put GitLab in the Leader quadrant.

GitLab is leveraging AI to boost the potency of its portfolio. It has introduced AI throughout the entire software development cycle that improves productivity and security without sacrificing speed. Customers are fast adopting its AI offerings Gitlab Duo and GitLab Duo Pro. 

The company recently strengthened its portfolio with the launch of the GitLab Duo Enterprise add-on, which is charged at $39 per user per month for Ultimate customers. Ultimate accounted for 46% of GitLab’s total Annual Run Rate.

GitLab’s prospects ride on an expanding clientele, driven by the strong adoption of its DevSecOps platform. Its strong partner base, which includes cloud service platforms like Alphabet (GOOGL - Free Report) and Amazon (AMZN - Free Report) , is helping the company rapidly expand its footprint among large enterprise customers.

Expanding Clientele Aids GTLB’s Top Line


GitLab has more than 30 million registered users on its platform. More than 50% of Fortune 100 are GitLab customers. 

Customers with more than $5K of Annual Recurring Revenues (ARR) increased 21% year over year to 8,976 in first-quarter fiscal 2025. Customers with more than $100K of ARR jumped 35% year over year to 1,025. Moreover, the dollar-based Net Retention Rate was 129% in the reported quarter.

GitLab’s robust portfolio has been driving clientele expansion. Enterprises, including NVIDIA (NVDA - Free Report) and Google Cloud, have adopted GitLab’s solutions to accelerate AI development and streamline security.

NVIDIA chose GitLab Geo to address scalability and security concerns. It lets NVIDIA's remote teams work more efficiently and effectively by shortening the time taken to clone and manage projects.

GitLab and Alphabet have collaborated to integrate GitLab’s unique capabilities within Google Cloud. The collaboration combined GitLab’s source code management, planning, CI/CD workflow, enhanced security and compliance capabilities with Google's Cloud console and Artifact Registry’s single data plane. This integration is currently in public beta.

GTLB’s Earnings Estimate Shows Upward Trend


For the second quarter of fiscal 2025, GitLab expects revenues between $176 million and $177 million, indicating a growth rate of 26-27% year over year. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal second quarter revenues is pegged at $176.48 million, indicating year-over-year growth of 26.44%.

GTLB expects non-GAAP earnings between 9 cents and 10 cents per share. The consensus mark for earnings is pegged at 10 cents per share, up by a penny over the past 60 days.

For fiscal 2025, GitLab expects revenues between $733 million and $737 million, indicating a growth rate of 26-27% year over year. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2025 revenues is pegged at $735.26 million, indicating year-over-year growth of 26.79%.
 

GitLab Inc. Price and Consensus

GitLab Inc. Price and Consensus

GitLab Inc. price-consensus-chart | GitLab Inc. Quote

GTLB expects non-GAAP earnings between 34 cents and 37 cents per share. The consensus mark for earnings is pegged at 36 cents per share, up a couple of cents over the past 30 days.

 

GitLab Shares Overvalued


GTLB stock is overvalued at this moment, as suggested by the Value Score of F.

GitLab stock is trading at a significant premium with a forward 12-month Price/Sales (P/S) of 8.93X compared with the Zacks Internet Software industry’s 2.56X.

P/S Ratio (F12M)

 

Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

 

Technical indicator is bearish for GitLab as the shares trade below the 50-day moving average, which indicates downward momentum.

GTLB Shares Trade Below 50-Day SMA

 

Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

 

What Investors Should Do With GTLB Stock


GitLab’s strong portfolio and expanding partner base are noteworthy. Hence, investors who already own the stock may expect the company's growth prospects to be rewarding over the long term. 

GitLab currently has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), suggesting that it may be wise to wait for a more favorable entry point in the stock. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.


See More Zacks Research for These Tickers


Normally $25 each - click below to receive one report FREE:


Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) - free report >>

NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) - free report >>

Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) - free report >>

GitLab Inc. (GTLB) - free report >>

Published in